TOL

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$TOL chatter on StockTwits

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  Future_billionaire@profit_guru1d

  $DHI - with $TOL earnings and yields falling …it might rally above 160 next week

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  rsmracks@rsmracks2d

  $SPY $TOL $DHI Put these two charts side by side. Wonder why homes aren’t selling? Some people will say it’s because of interest rates. That’s far from the facts. A 30 year mortgage in the 6-7% range is perfectly normal. The issue is home values. The government definitely doesn’t want home values to fall. They can’t afford deflation. Local governments depend on those taxes. I can tell you now, get use to 6% mortgages. I don’t care what the FED does. Mortgage rates won’t fall to 4.5-5% until a named recession occurs. About 1-2 years ago, I thought the FED was going to be able to get the FED rate down to 3% which would have allowed 5% mortgages, but inflation has been very persistent. I still believe home values have to fall because wages aren’t going to catch these elevated prices. The next housing expansion occurs after the next recession has concluded. Named Recession from mid 2027-2028. FED drops rates to 1-2% Home builders get busy again into the 2030’s.

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  Grampa Grit@grampagrit3d

  What impact will rising rates have on $DHI $LEN $PHM $TOL ?

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  rsmracks@rsmracksAug 7

  $SPY $TOL $B $XOP $OAK https://wolfstreet.com/2026/08/06/derivative-losses-squish-already-crushed-uwm-the-largest-mortgage-lender-in-the-us-spacs-just-keep-on-giving/ And everyone keeps saying everything is just fine in the housing market. I guess those same people would say this is a bullish chart? All I can say is we’re in late 2026-early 2007 again, except more debt ridden. Watch for miners to make their final wave 3 move into year end. Then energy (oil/gas) skyrockets into 2027, just like it did in 2008. Everything collapses in mid 2027+ Including miners. Wave 4 down. Then, just like 2010-2011, we will see interest rates crater allowing stimulus to return. That’s when mining companies take off again. Wave 5 My timing won’t be perfect, but we’re living in 2000-2008 all over again. Why else does Berkshire, Tepper and multiple family offices hold so much cash? Things aren’t sustainable. I’m still heavily invested, but the transition continues. Don’t drink the Koolaid.

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  Estimize@EstimizeAug 6

  Wall St is expecting 2.91 EPS for $TOL Q3 [Reporting 08/18 AMC] http://www.estimize.com/intro/tol?chart=historical&metric_name=eps&utm_cont

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  Nicholas@JFDIBullishAug 5

  $TOL seems to think so.

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  Alpha Bull@AlphaBull_10MJul 31

  $NAIL $TOL $KBH $DHI $LEN In June, mortgage rates moved sideways, but in July they've been rising steadily with re-escalating Iran war. Initially, I was planning to start accumulation of $NAIL near $35, but I think I'll wait closer to $30 unless I see Iran situation improve dramatically.

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  Josh2017@josh2017Jul 30

  $LEN $TOL $Z $OPEN $BETR “Mortgage rates just hit their highest level n a year -and may be headed higher” Yahoo

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  AlertsAndNews@AlertsAndNewsJul 29

  $RKT $Z $DHI $LEN $TOL U.S. Homeownership Rate Holds Steady As Affordability Pressures Persist- Realtor The U.S. homeownership rate remained unchanged at 65.0% in the second quarter, as affordability challenges continued to weigh on first-time buyers. Homeownership among Americans under age 35 fell to 35.2%, while rental vacancies rose in many markets, underscoring ongoing demand for rental housing amid elevated home prices and borrowing costs.

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  AXLFI_HQ@AXLFI_HQJul 27

  The most recent Momentum signal on $TOL triggered on 2026-07-27. The expected return for the selected horizon is +9.07% with a historical profit probability of +64.13%. Learn more: https://axlfi.com/factor-analysis?symbol=TOL&factor=momentum&timeframe=daily

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJul 26

  $SPY $TOL $DHI $PHA Oversupply in the south is official. Peak for this cycle is in. Even though the USA still has a housing shortage, prices are keeping people out of the market. We have an affordability crisis. Wages won’t rise for years to come. We’ve reached the end of this business/debt cycle. Rollover is coming. It will end with extremely high oil prices. I’m still using the 2000-2008 cycle as a guideline. Unemployment levels will definitely rise into 2027. The FED is in a terrible position. They can’t raise rates. They can’t lower rates. It’s a mess. https://wolfstreet.com/2026/07/24/new-single-family-home-prices-drop-further-amid-declining-sales-and-once-again-growing-inventory-glut/

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  Dixie@dixiebullJul 24

  $HD $LOW $KBH $TOL $NAIL all blasting!

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  Nicholas@JFDIBullishJul 24

  $TOL 3wt on the 10/30/40wk

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  Alpha Bull@AlphaBull_10MBullishJul 21

  $NAIL Patiently waiting at $35. $DHI $KBH $LEN $TOL

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJul 18

  $SPY $KRE $TOL $DHI $TLT A named recession is coming. Look how weak residential building is. Many years ago, I said that 2026 would mark the peak in single family construction. The rollover is going to occur. I’m not changing my calls. Mid 2027 recession. The real recession has already begun. Unemployment/underemployment will continue rising. The housing industry employees millions of Americans  https://x.com/loganmohtashami/status/2077763138003620227?s=46

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