$KORP $BND $CDE $XOM $HL
Wow, a lot of moving and shaking this morning.
I sold out of my KORP, BND, TLT and IGIB bond positions.
Initiated my XOM, COP and EOG positions.
I now have every ticker in place for my year end portfolio.
Now to eliminate/reduce some positions and add more to others in the coming months to get my position weights where I want them.
I also initiated two more miners that I didn’t plan to.
HL and CDE. I wanted more silver miners to add to my EXK and SIlJ position.
Don’t be shaken out of the silver or platinum trade.
This bull in commodities is just getting started. Especially if you will remain patient and let it come to you.
The beginning of July, I will post my new portfolio mix.
I thought by July I could get my portfolio where I wanted it. Looks like it will take me until September instead.
Long miners, energy, treasury’s and food producers.
I’m almost out of corporate debt.
That’s still my playbook.
$SPY $TLT $BND $IGIB $KORP
A lot of good data from Wolf in this article.
The final chart is simply brutal.
This chart basically says it all.
Not only are we a debt ridden country, businesses and individuals are maxed out.
Can the market move higher, yes it can, but I’m
still going to continue restructuring my portfolio and taking profits this year and rotating to the out of favor bond market.
For me, the upside risk has to be countered with more fixed income.
By accumulating short/mid/long dated bond and treasuries, it will allow some drawdown protection.
I’m up to about 19% fixed income now.
Accumulating:
BGT
BND
BNDX
IGIB
KORP
SCHP
SGOV
TLT
VGSH
I’m also holding these below, but they will be sold this month.
DLY
NUV
RFI
End goal
30% fixed income and for the summer, I might move an extra 10% into SGOV?
25-30% miners
20-25% energy
10% food producers
https://wolfstreet.com/2026/04/30/without-government-spending-trade-gdp-rose-by-2-5-in-q1-boosted-by-ai-investments/
$TLT $BND $BNDX $KORP $NUV
In portfolio management, a bond sleeve and a bond ladder represent two different ways of organizing fixed-income investments. A bond ladder is a specific strategy of buying individual bonds with staggered maturity dates, whereas a bond sleeve is a broader organizational term for the entire fixed-income portion of a larger diversified portfolio.
So I’ve recently mentioned I was building a bond ladder with different durations and credit risks.
After more research, what I’m building is a bond sleeve.
I’m structuring my fixed income with different bond/credit fund expirations/risks.
Short term. Less than 1 year.
Short/Mid - 3 years.
Mid term 5-10 years.
Long term 20+ years.
This includes federal government, corporate and municipalities with different risk assessments.
Grade A to junk.
Some leveraged funds as well.
So I just wanted to clarify the correct terminology from my previous posts.
Also remember, I’m not a CFA, please do your own due diligence.
$TLT
Currently, TLT is currently 2.4% of my overall portfolio.
While I’m currently holding 10 other credit/bond funds, I will continue scaling TLT to 5% allocation in H2 2026.
The other funds will be in the 2-2.5% range.
At some point in H2 2026 I will look at all of my funds and restructure those as well based on what I think rates will be in 2027+
I still haven’t opened VWOB or SCHO yet.
The buy order for VWOB hasn’t filled yet.
At some point I might eliminate the leveraged funds I’m holding.
What I have noticed.
BGT uses leverage, but the money managers have recently pulled back and they manage their leverage well.
DLY definitely uses leverage and also holds riskier paper. I will watch this closely. Gundlach and team are solid managers.
NMCO uses major leverage on Munis.
The rest don’t use leverage at all or very little.
Staying long into 2027+
TLT, $BND , NUV, $KORP , IGIB, $BNDX
I’m also using SHV and SGOV (money market) for my cash right now.
4% weight.
$SHV $IGIB $BND $SCHP $KORP
Bond yields are going higher.
Bond price will go lower.
Inverse relationship.
As I continue building my 12 bond fund portfolio, I will DCA along the way. (The Ladder)
I’ve said for 2+ years now that a 200 basis point spread would form.
Longer term debt will cost more.
I have 9 of the 12 funds already initiated.
The other 3 that will be added soon are;
NUV
BNDX
VWOB
I have a mix of short to long duration.
Investment grade to some below grade (B).
Treasuries, Muni’s, corporate and credit.
Will also have international exposure.
I still see bonds doing very well as risk off occurs. Especially in 2027+
$BNDX $VWOB
As I’ve been positioning my portfolio with more bond exposure, it was brought to my attention that adding foreign debt would be a good idea.
I completely agree, so as I continue scaling into my other 10 funds, I’m adding BNDX and VWOP to my list.
This will eventually give me 12 bond funds spread across multiple sectors and multiple durations.
The bond ladder continues to get built.
As mentioned previously, I just turned 50 and I want to restructure my account to generate more monthly income as well as preserve capital.
Compound returns via reinvestment.
If history proves itself correct again, the SPY could easily have zero returns the next 10 years.
Bonds will outperform the US stock market.
My allocation goal has been 25%
By the end of 2026, it’s highly likely that I raise my bond positions to 40%
Miners are still 61% of my portfolio.
Energy 17%
Bond funds 12% now.
The transition continues.
$TLT $IGEB $KORP
Charts below look solid for appreciation.
$SPY $TLT $BND $IGIB $KORP
Why am I building a 25% bond fund allocation in my portfolio in 2026 and possibly moving that to 40% as we get closer to 2027?
Scenarios Where Bonds Outperform Stocks
If the S&P 500 stays flat for 10 years due to overvaluation (multiple contraction) or economic stagnation, bond funds could indeed shine:
The "Reversion to Mean" Scenario: If stock prices stagnate while earnings catch up (bringing that 21.5 P/E back to 17 or 18), the S&P 500 might see 0% returns. If high-quality corporate bonds or Treasuries are yielding 4% to 5%, they will easily beat stocks on a risk-adjusted basis.
The Flight to Quality: If the market experiences sharp crashes during this decade, investors typically pile into bonds, driving prices up and yields down (capital appreciation for bondholders).
Disinflation: If the economy cools and inflation stays low, central banks cut rates. Falling rates increase the value of existing bond funds (especially long-duration funds like TLT).
$DLY $BGT $SCHP $KORP $TLT
Why This is a Good Idea (2026–2031)
Attractive Yields: After significant Fed rate hikes, bond yields are historically high, offering a solid income base, even with some expected rate cuts.
Reduced Volatility: Weekly accumulation (DCA) helps smooth out the purchase price, protecting you from buying exclusively when prices are high.
A five-year horizon fits well with intermediate-term bonds, which offer a balance of better yields than short-term instruments without the extreme price volatility of long-term bonds.
Diversification: Bond funds offer instant diversification, reducing the credit risk of holding individual bonds.
Recommendations for the Next 5 Years
Focus on Quality: Favor high-quality investment-grade corporate or treasury bonds.
Intermediate Duration: Focus on bond funds with an average maturity of 3–8 years to maximize income while limiting interest-rate sensitivity.
Tax Considerations: tax-advantaged account (IRA/401k), consider muni funds
$DLY $TLT $KORP $SCHP $NMCO
The top 6 funds on the list are already in my portfolio.
I have 5 more that I will add.
The last fund is more of place to hold cash while I’m possibly waiting to deploy funds into a ticker/tickers.
SHV is like a money market or high yield savings account.
Yields around 4%
So technically, these 10 funds will be my bond portfolio that will make up 25% of my portfolio by the end of Q1 2026.
10 funds x 2.5% positions.
You’ll notice that I’m covering all types of bonds.
Short term treasuries.
Mid duration and long duration government debt.
Mid to long term corporate debt.
Leverage corporate debt and non levered.
Different quality grades.
Investment grade and some below investment grade
Muni’s with leverage and different qualities.
Yields should average around 6%
It’s all about capital preservation while generating monthly/quarterly dividends.
