BGT

$BGT chatter on StockTwits

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJul 23

  $TLT $BND $BGT $DLY $SCHP The bond market isn’t happy right now at all. Nobody wants to hold this massive amount of federal, state and corporate debt for cheap interest. 5%👉6% is cheap. I think we see this move to 7-8% The FED knows the real economy is in a recession already and can’t raise rates, but at the same time, we have the most debt ever coming to market. There isn’t enough liquidity to fund all of these IPO’s and every investment vehicle available today. The Big Ugly is coming. Maybe sooner than my call for mid 2027. It’s getting real dicey now. Miners and energy companies are going to report tremendous earnings the next 2+ quarters. Inflation is real. Margin compression is happening everywhere except a few areas. Earnings expectations will be slashed heading into 2027. Buckle up.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJul 22

  $BGT Someone was taking big bites of this high yielding floating rate bond fund today. 👍

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  Chad Johnson@CottageCapJul 12

  $BGT The CEF is a global equity fund. They are finding opportunities in undervalued regions.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJul 5

  $TLT $VGIT $IGIB $BGT $BND Nobody wants to own bonds, they’re not sexy. Now is the best time in decades to accumulate them. When the lost decade for stocks begins, don’t you know people will say, “I wish I would have held more bonds”. Keep accumulating them, I see long dated yields heading higher and higher. I don’t care what the FED does. Oil loves high yields as well. I got my bond sleeve built up to 24% of my portfolio recently, but took that back to 13% to get my energy positions up to 25% on this pullback. With my miners still sitting at 52% of my portfolio, that’s the sector I will be trimming to accumulate more bond funds. I wanted to be completely allocated properly by July, but it might take a few more months. The bond funds I will maintain long are: VGIT SCHP SGOV I still have BGT, DLY and NUV, but will sell out of those soon. I recently sold BND, BNDX, IGIB, KORP and TLT. There’s a good chance I move back into BND and TLT. I’m watching that 30 year level.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJun 30

  $SPY $QQQ $TLT $IGIB $BGT Debt, Debt and a little more Debt. It’s getting real now.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJun 19

  $BND $IGIB $KORP $BGT $DLY You’ll want to own some bond funds over the next 5+ years. https://youtu.be/R8FRCfazsg4?is=2AoXk4knZR_EtqPZ

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 20

  $TLT $BND $IGIB $BGT $SCHP At this point, the bond market isn’t happy. History demonstrates that a bear steepening of the bond yield curve—where long-term interest rates rise faster than short-term interest rates—is a relatively rare macroeconomic event that historically serves as a powerful late-cycle warning sign for a looming recession and stock market correction. Analyzing historical bond data going back to 1960 reveals specific structural outcomes for the economy, fixed income, and equities: 1. High Probability of Imminent Recession when a bear steepener occurs late in an economic cycle, especially if the yield curve is shifting out of a deep inversion, it historically functions as a "royal flush" of recession warnings. I’m still calling for a mid 2027 named recession. I personally believe the recession has already begun.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 17

  $SPY $TLT $BGT $IGIB $SGOV Well, bond yields are screaming higher. Driven by fear of the short term yield pricing in 2-3 FED rate hikes the next 12+ months. I don’t see the FED raising rates. They will leave them at 3.5-3.75% for several more months. Our country can’t afford to pay more interest on our debt. Inflation will be left to run wild for the next few months based on the theory oil prices will fall and things are transitory again. Let’s see if the 2 year won’t fall back towards 3.8% in the coming weeks. I’m still continuing with my restructuring plan. Adding more fixed income and staying overweight miners and energy. The question for me now is, do I go more overweight short term treasuries in case I’m wrong? I will be watching this closely. I still like hedging with TLT for 2027 purposes, but my intermediate bond funds are in limbo. Let’s see what this coming week brings.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 15

  $HRL $CPB $SGOV $TLT $BGT This week so far, I’ve initiated or increased position sizes. HRL- Initiated starter position CPB- Initiated starter position PPC - Initiated starter position SGOV- increased position TLT- increased position BGT- increased position NUV - increased position BNDX- increased position Buy order in for INGR. 5 of my 6 food producer picks are initiated now. 3.1% weight towards my 10% goal I will continue building my fixed income portfolio. 26.16% weight of my 30% goal Sitting on 3.5% cash that will be deployed soon. I want solid monthly/quarterly dividends that can be compounded for the next 10 years. Just executing my plan. 👍

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 15

  $SPY Over 12 months ago I said I would continue watching HELOC levels. They’re definitely increasing substantially. This is just one data point I’m looking at to gauge the next recession. I personally believe the recession has already begun. It will take a few more quarters to filter through the false data being presented to Americans. Mid term election year, prop everything up and don’t let the bad news come out. Start listening around. The talk about bonds is everywhere. The most hated sector is all of sudden being spoken about. As many of you know, I’ve been accumulating now for months. Well ahead of what I see coming. I’m accumulating more short to intermediate term bonds for now, but I will start adding more to my TLT position later this year. People want more nowadays to hold debt of governments, businesses and individuals. FED can’t drop rates due to inflation. At some point however, The FED will and TLT and Gold will scream higher. $BND $SGOV $TLT $BGT

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  SuperGreenToday@SuperGreenTodayApr 18

  $BGT

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  rsmracks@rsmracksApr 1

  $BGT $DLY I mentioned BGT and DLY in an earlier post. I’ve had my wife and both children holding these funds off and on for 3-4 years. I’ve also owned them on multiple occasions. We’re all holding them again. BGT trading a 5+% discount to NAV and has a monthly distribution of 13+% DLY trading at 10% discount to NAV and has a monthly distribution rate of 10+% They’ve fallen due to leverage and credit risk due to their positioning. I’m staying long for now and will decide in H2 what to do. Using these in my bond portfolio creates a much higher monthly dividend stream that I’m constantly reinvesting. Combined, they’re only 2.75% total weight. Don’t go overboard. 👍

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  John Carbo@2theMoonAliceMar 26

  $DLY $BGT $KORP $PHK $PTY Reduced positions till I review EVERYTHING for direct and indirect private credit...

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMar 19

  I initiated my $NUV position today. I also increased my $DLY, $KORP and $BGT by 100% Keep scaling into my bond funds. 👍

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  rsmracks@rsmracksFeb 26

  $TLT $BND $SCHP $BGT $DLY What’s the outlook for bond funds the next 5-10 years versus equities? Many see bonds returning very similarly. I will continue building my bond/credit fund positions. I want that fixed income with less drawdowns.

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