BGT

$BGT chatter on StockTwits

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJun 19

  $BND $IGIB $KORP $BGT $DLY You’ll want to own some bond funds over the next 5+ years. https://youtu.be/R8FRCfazsg4?is=2AoXk4knZR_EtqPZ

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 20

  $TLT $BND $IGIB $BGT $SCHP At this point, the bond market isn’t happy. History demonstrates that a bear steepening of the bond yield curve—where long-term interest rates rise faster than short-term interest rates—is a relatively rare macroeconomic event that historically serves as a powerful late-cycle warning sign for a looming recession and stock market correction. Analyzing historical bond data going back to 1960 reveals specific structural outcomes for the economy, fixed income, and equities: 1. High Probability of Imminent Recession when a bear steepener occurs late in an economic cycle, especially if the yield curve is shifting out of a deep inversion, it historically functions as a "royal flush" of recession warnings. I’m still calling for a mid 2027 named recession. I personally believe the recession has already begun.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 17

  $SPY $TLT $BGT $IGIB $SGOV Well, bond yields are screaming higher. Driven by fear of the short term yield pricing in 2-3 FED rate hikes the next 12+ months. I don’t see the FED raising rates. They will leave them at 3.5-3.75% for several more months. Our country can’t afford to pay more interest on our debt. Inflation will be left to run wild for the next few months based on the theory oil prices will fall and things are transitory again. Let’s see if the 2 year won’t fall back towards 3.8% in the coming weeks. I’m still continuing with my restructuring plan. Adding more fixed income and staying overweight miners and energy. The question for me now is, do I go more overweight short term treasuries in case I’m wrong? I will be watching this closely. I still like hedging with TLT for 2027 purposes, but my intermediate bond funds are in limbo. Let’s see what this coming week brings.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 15

  $HRL $CPB $SGOV $TLT $BGT This week so far, I’ve initiated or increased position sizes. HRL- Initiated starter position CPB- Initiated starter position PPC - Initiated starter position SGOV- increased position TLT- increased position BGT- increased position NUV - increased position BNDX- increased position Buy order in for INGR. 5 of my 6 food producer picks are initiated now. 3.1% weight towards my 10% goal I will continue building my fixed income portfolio. 26.16% weight of my 30% goal Sitting on 3.5% cash that will be deployed soon. I want solid monthly/quarterly dividends that can be compounded for the next 10 years. Just executing my plan. 👍

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMay 15

  $SPY Over 12 months ago I said I would continue watching HELOC levels. They’re definitely increasing substantially. This is just one data point I’m looking at to gauge the next recession. I personally believe the recession has already begun. It will take a few more quarters to filter through the false data being presented to Americans. Mid term election year, prop everything up and don’t let the bad news come out. Start listening around. The talk about bonds is everywhere. The most hated sector is all of sudden being spoken about. As many of you know, I’ve been accumulating now for months. Well ahead of what I see coming. I’m accumulating more short to intermediate term bonds for now, but I will start adding more to my TLT position later this year. People want more nowadays to hold debt of governments, businesses and individuals. FED can’t drop rates due to inflation. At some point however, The FED will and TLT and Gold will scream higher. $BND $SGOV $TLT $BGT

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  SuperGreenToday@SuperGreenTodayApr 18

  $BGT

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  rsmracks@rsmracksApr 1

  $BGT $DLY I mentioned BGT and DLY in an earlier post. I’ve had my wife and both children holding these funds off and on for 3-4 years. I’ve also owned them on multiple occasions. We’re all holding them again. BGT trading a 5+% discount to NAV and has a monthly distribution of 13+% DLY trading at 10% discount to NAV and has a monthly distribution rate of 10+% They’ve fallen due to leverage and credit risk due to their positioning. I’m staying long for now and will decide in H2 what to do. Using these in my bond portfolio creates a much higher monthly dividend stream that I’m constantly reinvesting. Combined, they’re only 2.75% total weight. Don’t go overboard. 👍

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  John Carbo@2theMoonAliceMar 26

  $DLY $BGT $KORP $PHK $PTY Reduced positions till I review EVERYTHING for direct and indirect private credit...

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  rsmracks@rsmracksMar 19

  I initiated my $NUV position today. I also increased my $DLY, $KORP and $BGT by 100% Keep scaling into my bond funds. 👍

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  rsmracks@rsmracksFeb 26

  $TLT $BND $SCHP $BGT $DLY What’s the outlook for bond funds the next 5-10 years versus equities? Many see bonds returning very similarly. I will continue building my bond/credit fund positions. I want that fixed income with less drawdowns.

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  SuperGreenToday@SuperGreenTodayFeb 19

  $BGT

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  SuperGreenToday@SuperGreenTodayFeb 18

  $BGT

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  rsmracks@rsmracksFeb 4

  $BND $SCHP $TLT $DLY $BGT A 25% bond allocation using a mix of short, intermediate, and long-term maturities—often called a bond ladder or barbell strategy—is an effective way to balance income generation with risk management. This diversified approach mitigates interest rate risk, provides liquidity via short-term holdings, and captures higher yields from longer-term bonds. Why This Mix is Effective Short-Term Bonds (1-3 years): Offer liquidity and stability, serving as a buffer against inflation and interest rate spikes. Intermediate-Term Bonds (3-10 years): Act as the core of the portfolio, providing a balance of yield and moderate price stability. Long-Term Bonds (10+ years): Generally offer higher yields and significant capital appreciation potential if interest rates fall. Risk Management: Combining maturities ensures that if rates rise, the short-term bonds can be reinvested at higher rates, while long-term bonds act as a cushion during equity market volatility.

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  rsmracks@rsmracksFeb 1

  $DLY $BGT $SCHP $KORP $TLT Why This is a Good Idea (2026–2031) Attractive Yields: After significant Fed rate hikes, bond yields are historically high, offering a solid income base, even with some expected rate cuts. Reduced Volatility: Weekly accumulation (DCA) helps smooth out the purchase price, protecting you from buying exclusively when prices are high. A five-year horizon fits well with intermediate-term bonds, which offer a balance of better yields than short-term instruments without the extreme price volatility of long-term bonds. Diversification: Bond funds offer instant diversification, reducing the credit risk of holding individual bonds. Recommendations for the Next 5 Years Focus on Quality: Favor high-quality investment-grade corporate or treasury bonds. Intermediate Duration: Focus on bond funds with an average maturity of 3–8 years to maximize income while limiting interest-rate sensitivity. Tax Considerations: tax-advantaged account (IRA/401k), consider muni funds

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  rsmracks@rsmracksJan 29

  $TLT $NMCO $SCHP $DLY $BGT Why bonds? Diversification Cushion: Historically, bonds have maintained a negative or low correlation to stocks, meaning they often gain value when stocks plummet, providing crucial portfolio protection. Yield Cushion: As of late 2025, bonds are better positioned to handle sell-offs compared to 2022 because higher starting yields (e.g., 3.8% in Q4 2024 vs. 1.5% in Q1 2022) provide income that can buffer against price declines. Scenario-Dependent Performance: If a 40% stock market drop is driven by recession fears (causing interest rates to fall), bond prices will likely rise. If it is caused by a massive spike in inflation and rates (a "stagflation" scenario), bond funds could experience temporary price declines. Overall, while the 60/40 portfolio (60% stocks, 40% bonds) has experienced drawdowns, it generally sees significantly shallower losses than a 100% stock portfolio. Eventually I see my account 50% commodities and 50% bond funds.

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