Held · Bookmarked
0 · 0
portfolios · users
Avg position size
—
of holders' portfolios
13F filers
2
institutions
Market cap
$12.7B
264M shares
52-week range
$30.81 – $84.38
30% from low
Sector
PRIMARY PRODUCTION OF ALUMINUM
Exchange
NYSE
CS
P/S (TTM)
0.9
EV / FCF (TTM)
37.7
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
www.alcoa.comNo one on the platform currently holds AA.
| Institution | Shares | Reported |
|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologiesas of 2026-03-31 | 598,696 | $39.7M |
| Bridgewater Associatesas of 2026-03-31 | 57,371 | $3.8M |
| Ex-date | Per share | Pay date |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | $0.1000 | 2026-08-27 |
| 2026-05-19 | $0.1000 | 2026-06-05 |
| 2026-03-10 | $0.1000 | 2026-03-26 |
| 2025-11-04 | $0.1000 | 2025-11-21 |
| 2025-08-12 | $0.1000 | 2025-08-28 |
| 2025-05-20 | $0.1000 | 2025-06-06 |
| 2025-03-04 | $0.1000 | 2025-03-20 |
| 2024-10-29 | $0.1000 | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-08-12 | $0.1000 | 2024-08-29 |
| 2024-05-20 | $0.1000 | 2024-06-07 |
No one on the platform has traded AA yet.
| 2024-03-04 | $0.1000 | 2024-03-21 |
| 2023-10-30 | $0.1000 | 2023-11-17 |
| Execution date | Ratio |
|---|---|
| 2016-11-01 | 1000-for-801 |
| 2016-10-06 | 1-for-3reverse |
Consensus-seeded revenue, margins, and exit multiples. This is a scenario tool, not investment advice.
Consensus does not cover every selected forecast year. Later assumptions are extrapolated from available analyst estimates.
| Metric | Historical average | My assumptions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | 5 years | 10 years | Low | Mid | High | |
| ROIC % | 11.1% | — | — | — | ||
| Rev. Growth % | 5.3% | 6.5% | ||||
| Profit Margin % | 9.0% | 1.2% | -0.7% | |||
| Free Cash Flow Margin % | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | |||
| Exit P/E | — | — | — | |||
| Exit P/FCF | — | — | — | |||
| Desired Annual Return % | — | — | — | |||
At today's price, your expected annual return is -1.4% on the P/E track.
At today's price, your expected annual return is +5.5% on the P/E track.
At today's price, your expected annual return is +12.3% on the P/E track.
| Year | Est. revenue | Growth | Est. EPS | EPS range | Fwd P/E | # Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $14.9B | +17.1% | $6.59 | $6.17–$7.03 | 7.1× | 7 |
| 2027 | $15.2B | +1.9% | $6.09 | $4.12–$9.61 | 7.7× | 8 |
| 2028 | $14.3B | -5.9% | $6.45 | $4.97–$8.41 | 7.3× | 4 |
| 2029 | $14.3B | +0.2% | $8.15 | $7.30–$9.05 | 5.8× | 1 |
Forward consensus · growth is YoY vs the prior fiscal-year estimate · Fwd P/E at the current price · source: Financial Modeling Prep
Beat consensus in 6 of the last 8 reported quarters
| Reported | Est. EPS | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | $2.25 | $2.12 | -5.8% |
| 2026-04-16 | $1.53 | $1.40 | -8.5% |
| 2026-01-22 | $0.93 | $1.26 | +36.1% |
| 2025-10-22 | $-0.14 | $-0.02 | +85.8% |
| 2025-07-16 | $0.32 | $0.39 | +21.0% |
| 2025-04-16 | $1.68 | $2.15 | +28.0% |
| 2025-01-22 | $0.93 | $1.04 | +11.8% |
| 2024-10-16 | $0.25 |
| $0.57 |
| +128.6% |
| $12.3B |
| — |
| IAGIamgold Corporation | $19.79 | -2.32% | $11.4B | — |
| ICLICL Group Ltd | $5.51 | -2.65% | $7.1B | — |
Source: Financial Modeling Prep · peers by sector/industry
$AA This is what's going on while most of us are asleep ... It looks like someone is hoping to walk the price down, one share at a time! If they can get us close to $40 again, I will be buying more.
View on StockTwits ↗@Bayouballer @Hihosilveraway11 $AA is a highly manipulated stock; it makes very large swings and can go up or down on a whim. Institutions control more than 85% of the stock, and institutional ownership is pretty low right now compared to where we were in 2024. Blackrock, State Street, and Vanguard held roughly 13% each back then, but currently Blackrock is currently at 11%, Vanguard is maybe around 9%, and State Street is around 4.12% so they've all sold the peaks and will be looking to buy back in. They are going to demoralize us and many of us will willingly give them the shares. If you go back and look at the chart over the last few years, you will see numerous examples of the price dropping sharply before the next big run. That's going to happen sooner or later. I still think it will be this year, but maybe it doesn't happen into 2027. Rest assured, you will see a peak over $100 coming up.
View on StockTwits ↗
Trading journal update: $AA was closed at a near 10% loss and has been moved to the completed trades list. This trade went wrong quite rapidly and never properly recovered. spBuy trades come with more risk. Oftentimes the quick loss is the best loss and this is a good example. Watch our methods: https://blog.reversallevels.com/2026/09/trading-journal-sep-14-2026.html
View on StockTwits ↗
$AA metals stocks took a hit this past week, I think over tariff concerns, but $AA now near a three wave corrective looking measured move pullback to the .618 retracement off the mid-Aug high.
View on StockTwits ↗
Trading journal update: $AA is on a Sell signal and will be closed at the Open today. $DECK is down significantly from our entry price, but is giving a new spBuy today. So we can hold on for a rebound. More: https://blog.reversallevels.com/2026/09/trading-journal-sep-11-2026.html
View on StockTwits ↗
$AA sellers coming from that 84 high are selling this one again.
View on StockTwits ↗$AA HOLY TOLEDO WINDOW BOX BATMAN!! What a pooper of a day!!
View on StockTwits ↗$AA forward p/e around 7.8, nice growth, adding more here!
View on StockTwits ↗
$AA Buy On the dip, this should advance eventually. Alternatively, selling ATM puts expiring September 18 could be an attractive way to generate premium while being prepared to take the shares at a lower effective entry price.
View on StockTwits ↗
$AA the longer the base the higher in space? Still in the base. Nothing from nothing so far.
View on StockTwits ↗$AA $CCJ $ALB $ENB still good to hold
View on StockTwits ↗
Recent $TICKER stream from stocktwits.com — refreshed every 5 minutes. Sentiment tags are self-reported by posters. Not investment advice.
Click to see transaction details on SEC.gov. Form 4s cover trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ owners, due within 2 business days of the trade.